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HR & Hits parlays built from real MLB stats and matchup data.

Friday, September 4, 2026 — Parlays refresh at midnight
⚾ Today's MLB Matchups
DET
DET
64-75
@
CLE
70-70
CLE
Montero
Allen
DET
DET
64-75
@
CLE
70-70
CLE
Sears
Griffin
MIL
MIL
87-54
@
CIN
67-73
CIN
Drohan
Lowder
ATL
ATL
83-57
@
PHI
79-61
PHI
Sale
Sánchez
LAA
LAA
53-87
@
PIT
69-72
PIT
Johnson
Jones
BOS
BOS
76-65
@
BAL
69-72
BAL
Suarez
Baz
SF
SF
58-83
@
NYM
63-77
NYM
Wilkinson
McLean
CHC
CHC
79-62
@
MIA
71-70
MIA
Imanaga
Junk
MIN
MIN
67-73
@
CWS
73-67
CWS
Matthews
Fedde
TB
TB
83-57
@
TEX
70-71
TEX
Martinez
Williams
ARI
ARI
74-67
@
HOU
72-69
HOU
Kelly
Javier
TOR
TOR
70-71
@
KC
63-78
KC
Taillon
IV
STL
STL
70-71
@
COL
54-86
COL
Pallante
Feltner
NYY
NYY
80-60
@
SD
73-67
SD
Fried
Buehler
WSH
WSH
67-75
@
LAD
83-57
LAD
Kent
Snell
OAK
OAK
55-86
@
SEA
66-75
SEA
Morris
Gilbert
Our record · continuously learning
618 graded · 26.7% vs 38.2% base rate · -0.81u
View →

HR Grade Board

(15 graded)

A–F grades blending barrel power, pitcher matchup (HR/9 + handedness), 15-day form, ballpark factor, live weather (wind/temp), and "due" cycles. Top picks pinned below.

Confirmed in today's lineup Projected (lineup not posted yet)
B
CLEChase DeLauter
CLEDETvs Andrew Sears
Progressive Field · 13 HR / 118G · .818 OPS
🔥 Hot: 0 HR in last 11G🎯 LHP allows 3.9 HR/9 to LHB🔝 Leadoff slot (2)
+480
BetRivers
B
CLENathaniel Lowe
CLEDETvs Andrew Sears
Progressive Field · 15 HR / 107G · .770 OPS
🎯 LHP allows 3.9 HR/9 to LHB
+480
BetRivers
B-
CLEJo Adell
CLEDETvs Andrew Sears
Progressive Field · 20 HR / 137G · .702 OPS
⚔️ 0.961 OPS vs LHP💪 Heart of order (4-hole)
+430
BetRivers
B
CLEChase DeLauterDET
13HR/118G.818 OPSvs Andrew Sears🔥 Hot: 0 HR in last 11G
B
CLENathaniel LoweDET
15HR/107G.770 OPSvs Andrew Sears🎯 LHP allows 3.9 HR/9 to LHB
B-
CLEJo AdellDET
20HR/137G.702 OPSvs Andrew Sears⚔️ 0.961 OPS vs LHP
B-
CLEJosé RamírezDET
11HR/106G.720 OPSvs Andrew Sears⚔️ 0.938 OPS vs LHP
B-
CLESteven KwanDET
2HR/130G.707 OPSvs Andrew Sears🎯 LHP allows 3.9 HR/9 to LHB
B-
DETSpencer TorkelsonCLE
21HR/137G.724 OPSvs Foster Griffin
B-
DETKevin McGonigleCLE
14HR/135G.782 OPSvs Foster Griffin🔝 Leadoff slot (2)
B-
CLETravis BazzanaDET
9HR/104G.689 OPSvs Andrew Sears🎯 LHP allows 3.9 HR/9 to LHB
C+
DETHao-Yu LeeCLE
8HR/94G.738 OPSvs Foster Griffin🪨 0.649 OPS vs LHP
C+
CLEPatrick BaileyDET
8HR/95G.604 OPSvs Andrew Sears🔥 Hot: 2 HR in last 9G
C+
DETDillon DinglerCLE
26HR/128G.779 OPSvs Foster Griffin🥶 Cold streak (10G)
C+
DETRiley GreeneCLE
16HR/119G.805 OPSvs Foster Griffin
C+
DETMax ClarkCLE
2HR/30G.766 OPSvs Foster Griffin🪫 Bottom of order (8-hole)
C+
CLEAngel GenaoDET
2HR/24G.680 OPSvs Andrew Sears
C+
DETGleyber TorresCLE
8HR/81G.749 OPSvs Foster Griffin🥶 Cold streak (11G)

Prices from BetRivers at 11:55 AM ET. Lines move.

💰 Value Board1+ Hit parlays · +100 to +300

Individual 1+ Hit legs
A+
CLEJosé Ramírez
1+ Hit·CLE DETvs Andrew Sears
-217
BetOnline.ag · fair -531
+19.7% edge
🎯 6.75 ERA arm📊 .296 BAA vs⚔️ 0.938 OPS vs LHP💪 Heart of order (3)
Model: 84% · .241 AVG · .720 OPS
A+
CLEChase DeLauter
1+ Hit·CLE DETvs Andrew Sears
-250
BetRivers · fair -891
+18.5% edge
🎯 6.75 ERA arm📊 .296 BAA vs🔥 1.020 OPS L11🔝 Leadoff (2)
Model: 90% · .293 AVG · .818 OPS
A+
CLESteven Kwan
1+ Hit·CLE DETvs Andrew Sears
-274
DraftKings · fair -570
+16.3% edge
🎯 6.75 ERA arm📊 .296 BAA vs🪨 0.617 OPS vs LHP🔝 Leadoff (1)
Model: 85% · .275 AVG · .707 OPS
A+
DETMax Clark
1+ Hit·DET CLEvs Foster Griffin
-141
BetOnline.ag · fair -213
+13.1% edge
⚔️ 1.082 OPS vs LHP
Model: 68% · .257 AVG · .766 OPS
A+
DETJavier Báez
1+ Hit·DET CLEvs Foster Griffin
-138
DraftKings · fair -204
+12.9% edge
Model: 67% · .253 AVG · .652 OPS
A+
DETHao-Yu Lee
1+ Hit·DET CLEvs Foster Griffin
-182
DraftKings · fair -270
+12.6% edge
🪨 0.649 OPS vs LHP💪 Heart of order (3)
Model: 73% · .269 AVG · .738 OPS
A+
CLEJo Adell
1+ Hit·CLE DETvs Andrew Sears
-200
BetRivers · fair -359
+11.5% edge
🎯 6.75 ERA arm📊 .296 BAA vs⚔️ 0.961 OPS vs LHP💪 Heart of order (4)
Model: 78% · .241 AVG · .702 OPS
A+
DETGleyber Torres
1+ Hit·DET CLEvs Foster Griffin
-209
DraftKings · fair -285
+10.7% edge
🥶 .518 OPS L11🔝 Leadoff (1)
Model: 74% · .262 AVG · .749 OPS
A+
CLETravis Bazzana
1+ Hit·CLE DETvs Andrew Sears
-143
BetRivers · fair -224
+10.3% edge
🎯 6.75 ERA arm📊 .296 BAA vs🪨 0.523 OPS vs LHP
Model: 69% · .235 AVG · .689 OPS
A+
DETRiley Greene
1+ Hit·DET CLEvs Foster Griffin
-174
DraftKings · fair -225
+9.8% edge
Model: 69% · .269 AVG · .805 OPS

Parlays combine legs assuming near-independence (no two from the same team) and are priced from the real prices above. Edge % = model probability minus the de-vigged book probability; negative values are shown as negative. Legs without a posted line are excluded from parlays. Prices from BetOnline.ag at 11:55 AM ET. Lines move.

Filters
Stat Type
Risk Level

⚾ Today's Parlays (15 picks • 16 games)

HR Hits
🎯 Singles Stack
Standard
ARI @ HOU • TOR @ KC • SF @ NYM
+572$10 → $67
HOUYordan Alvarez(HOU)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-120
vs Merrill Kelly💪 Elite OPS (1.035).316 AVG, 157 H1.035 OPS
TORBrett Bateman(TOR)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-120
vs Daniel Lynch IV🔥 Hot bat (..330).330 AVG, 30 H.776 OPS
SFTurner Hill(SF)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5+100
vs Nolan McLean📈 Hitting well.318 AVG, 14 H.843 OPS
💵 Base Hit Builder
🔥 Risky
ATL @ PHI • WSH @ LAD • TB @ TEX • BOS @ BAL
+921$10 → $102
PHILuis Arraez(PHI)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5+100
vs Chris Sale📈 Hitting well.315 AVG, 166 H.776 OPS
LADFreddie Freeman(LAD)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-160
vs Jackson Kent📈 Hitting well.303 AVG, 155 H.844 OPS
TBYandy Díaz(TB)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-120
vs Trevor Williams💣 HR machine.303 AVG, 162 H.840 OPS
BALBlaze Alexander(BAL)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-140
vs Ranger Suarez📈 Hitting well.309 AVG, 75 H.786 OPS
🧱 Contact Combo
Standard
LAA @ PIT • ARI @ HOU • NYY @ SD
+329$10 → $43
PITNick Gonzales(PIT)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-160
vs Ryan Johnson📈 Hitting well.310 AVG, 153 H.769 OPS
ARIGabriel Moreno(ARI)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-160
vs Cristian Javier📈 Hitting well.298 AVG, 118 H.836 OPS
SDTy France(SD)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-160
vs Max Fried💣 HR machine.292 AVG, 107 H.872 OPS
🛡️ Lock It In
🛡️ Safe Play
TOR @ KC • ARI @ HOU
+179$10 → $28
TORBrett Bateman(TOR)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-140
vs Daniel Lynch IV🔥 Hot bat (..330).330 AVG, 30 H.776 OPS
HOUYordan Alvarez(HOU)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-160
vs Merrill Kelly💪 Elite OPS (1.035).316 AVG, 157 H1.035 OPS
🧱 Foundation
🛡️ Safe Play
TOR @ KC • LAA @ PIT
+164$10 → $26
TORBrett Bateman(TOR)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-160
vs Daniel Lynch IV🔥 Hot bat (..330).330 AVG, 30 H.776 OPS
PITNick Gonzales(PIT)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-160
vs Ryan Johnson📈 Hitting well.310 AVG, 153 H.769 OPS
🎯 Sniper Special
Standard
STL @ COL • ATL @ PHI
+583$10 → $68
COLHunter Goodman(COL)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+320
vs Andre Pallante💣 HR machine36 HR in 120 G.855 OPS
PHILuis Arraez(PHI)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-160
vs Chris Sale📈 Hitting well.315 AVG, 166 H.776 OPS
💰 Money Maker
🔥 Risky
SF @ NYM • STL @ COL
+843$10 → $94
SFTurner Hill(SF)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-140
vs Nolan McLean📈 Hitting well.318 AVG, 14 H.843 OPS
COLHunter Goodman(COL)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+450
vs Andre Pallante💣 HR machine36 HR in 120 G.855 OPS
👑 King's Court
🔥 Risky
STL @ COL • LAA @ PIT
+1100$10 → $120
COLHunter Goodman(COL)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+500
vs Andre Pallante💣 HR machine36 HR in 120 G.855 OPS
PITNick Gonzales(PIT)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5+100
vs Ryan Johnson📈 Hitting well.310 AVG, 153 H.769 OPS
💣 Bomb Squad
🔥 Risky
ATL @ PHI • TB @ TEX • ARI @ HOU
+1957$10 → $206
PHILuis Arraez(PHI)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-140
vs Chris Sale📈 Hitting well.315 AVG, 166 H.776 OPS
TBChandler Simpson(TB)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5+100
vs Trevor Williams📈 Hitting well.309 AVG, 153 H.699 OPS
HOUYordan Alvarez(HOU)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+500
vs Merrill Kelly💪 Elite OPS (1.035)37 HR in 139 G1.035 OPS
💎 Diamond Play
🎯 Long Shot
MIL @ CIN • ATL @ PHI
+4288$10 → $439
CINHéctor Rodríguez(CIN)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+350
vs Shane Drohan💣 HR machine5 HR in 22 G.785 OPS
CINSal Stewart(CIN)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+500
vs Shane Drohan💣 HR machine31 HR in 140 G.821 OPS
ATLMichael Harris II(ATL)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-160
vs Cristopher Sánchez💣 HR machine.295 AVG, 150 H.825 OPS
🎰 High Roller
🚀 Moonshot
ARI @ HOU • ATL @ PHI • NYY @ SD • BOS @ BAL
+26225$10 → $2.6k
HOUYordan Alvarez(HOU)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+500
vs Merrill Kelly💪 Elite OPS (1.035)37 HR in 139 G1.035 OPS
PHILuis Arraez(PHI)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-160
vs Chris Sale📈 Hitting well.315 AVG, 166 H.776 OPS
NYYBen Rice(NYY)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+500
vs Walker Buehler💣 HR machine35 HR in 134 G.865 OPS
BALPete Alonso(BAL)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+350
vs Ranger Suarez💣 HR machine33 HR in 141 G.862 OPS
🦅 Eagle Eye
🚀 Moonshot
ATL @ PHI • TB @ TEX • LAA @ PIT • ARI @ HOU
+42425$10 → $4.3k
PHIKyle Schwarber(PHI)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+400
vs Chris Sale💣 HR machine40 HR in 134 G.872 OPS
TBJunior Caminero(TB)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+350
vs Trevor Williams💣 HR machine37 HR in 140 G.891 OPS
PITRafael Flores Jr.(PIT)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+320
vs Ryan Johnson💣 HR machine7 HR in 31 G.775 OPS
HOUYordan Alvarez(HOU)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+350
vs Merrill Kelly💪 Elite OPS (1.035)37 HR in 139 G1.035 OPS
🃏 Wild Card
🚀 Moonshot
ARI @ HOU • NYY @ SD • STL @ COL • SF @ NYM
+32086$10 → $3.2k
ARIGabriel Moreno(ARI)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-120
vs Cristian Javier📈 Hitting well.298 AVG, 118 H.836 OPS
NYYBen Rice(NYY)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+450
vs Walker Buehler💣 HR machine35 HR in 134 G.865 OPS
STLJoshua Báez(STL)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+320
vs Ryan Feltner💣 HR machine6 HR in 19 G.840 OPS
NYMJuan Soto(NYM)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+280
vs Matt Wilkinson💪 Elite OPS (.944)23 HR in 89 G.944 OPS
HOUYordan Alvarez(HOU)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5+100
vs Merrill Kelly💪 Elite OPS (1.035).316 AVG, 157 H1.035 OPS
💫 Galaxy Brain
🚀 Moonshot
NYY @ SD • LAA @ PIT • WSH @ LAD
+285020$10 → $28.5k
NYYBen Rice(NYY)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+500
vs Walker Buehler💣 HR machine35 HR in 134 G.865 OPS
PITEsmerlyn Valdez(PIT)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+320
vs Ryan Johnson💣 HR machine16 HR in 67 G.867 OPS
LADFreddie Freeman(LAD)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-120
vs Jackson Kent📈 Hitting well.303 AVG, 155 H.844 OPS
LADShohei Ohtani(LAD)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+500
vs Jackson Kent💪 Elite OPS (.906)30 HR in 133 G.906 OPS
SDTy France(SD)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-140
vs Max Fried💣 HR machine.292 AVG, 107 H.872 OPS
PITBrandon Lowe(PIT)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+500
vs Ryan Johnson💣 HR machine29 HR in 131 G.806 OPS
☄️ Comet Ride
🚀 Moonshot
MIL @ CIN • TB @ TEX • ATL @ PHI • LAA @ PIT • WSH @ LAD • ARI @ HOU
+1618281$10 → $161.8k
CINHéctor Rodríguez(CIN)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+280
vs Shane Drohan💣 HR machine5 HR in 22 G.785 OPS
TBJunior Caminero(TB)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+450
vs Trevor Williams💣 HR machine37 HR in 140 G.891 OPS
ATLMatt Olson(ATL)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+450
vs Cristopher Sánchez💣 HR machine37 HR in 140 G.846 OPS
PITEsmerlyn Valdez(PIT)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+280
vs Ryan Johnson💣 HR machine16 HR in 67 G.867 OPS
LADShohei Ohtani(LAD)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+500
vs Jackson Kent💪 Elite OPS (.906)30 HR in 133 G.906 OPS
HOUYordan Alvarez(HOU)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-160
vs Merrill Kelly💪 Elite OPS (1.035).316 AVG, 157 H1.035 OPS
PITRafael Flores Jr.(PIT)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+280
vs Ryan Johnson💣 HR machine7 HR in 31 G.775 OPS

Prices from BetOnline.ag at 11:55 AM ET. Lines move.

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